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Q1 2025 - Topicus.com - Analysis

Q1 2025 - Topicus.com - Analysis

Solid organic growth in maintenance, stabilizing margins, Cipal Schaubroeck acquisition still pending

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The Compounding Tortoise
May 08, 2025
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The Compounding Tortoise
The Compounding Tortoise
Q1 2025 - Topicus.com - Analysis
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Yesterday, Topicus.com (or TOI) announced its Q1 2025 results. As per usual, there’s no conference call to discuss the financial performance.

We wrote quite a bit on Topicus (and Constellation Software) already.

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We’d summarize the report as follows: excellent cash flow, with a flattish EBITA margin and solid maintenance organic growth. As for M&A, we’d like to remind investors that the acquisition of the Belgian Cipal Schaubroeck is still pending. Meanwhile, excluding extraordinary deals, M&A momentum is still somewhat lagging our expectations at a time when implied market expectations point to a meaningful acceleration.

Let’s take a closer look at Topicus’ Q1 and our updated valuation model.

Headline Figures

  • Revenue recorded 16% growth versus prior year, of which 4% was organic (6% organic growth in maintenance and other recurring);

  • Underlying EBITA grew 16.1% with a 24.2% margin, up 2 bp versus prior year;

  • Topicus completed acquisitions worth 60.3m EUR, including acquired cash and deferred payments;

  • Free cash flow available to shareholders topped 28m EUR, or a +21%;

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